TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — Taiwan’s housing market is expected to cool further in 2026, with prices projected to ease modestly and transaction volumes likely to remain broadly stable if current policy settings remain in place.

Yungching Realty Group business general manager Yeh Ling-chi said the outlook hinges largely on whether the Central Bank loosens its seventh round of housing credit controls, adding that no clear easing signals have emerged so far, per CNA.

Using the NCCU–Yungching housing price index as a reference, Yeh said price corrections after the latest controls were introduced have differed by region. Taipei and New Taipei have fallen about 5% compared with the period before the measures, while Taoyuan and the Hsinchu areas posted declines of 6%–7%. Meanwhile, Kaohsiung fell 8.9%, Taichung 8.6%, and Tainan 8.2%.

For next year, Yeh estimated that areas with stronger owner-occupier demand could see prices slip about 3%–5%. In places with heavier supply, he said the decline could widen to 5%–7%, while the drop in Taipei and New Taipei is expected to be more limited.

Yeh said the market will be shaped by four variables: housing policy, supply, political-economic conditions at home and abroad, and cross-strait relations. He projected roughly 251,000–264,000 transactions in 2026, with the total volume falling within 3% lower to 2% higher than 2025.