TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — China expects to have the capability to invade Taiwan within two years, according to a draft Pentagon report obtained by Reuters.
The document detailed China’s military expansion and said that "China expects to be able to fight and win a war on Taiwan by the end of 2027."
One such option could include strikes against targets located 1,500 to 2,000 nautical miles (2,778 to 3,704 kilometers) from China. It warned that, "In sufficient volume, these strikes could seriously challenge and disrupt US presence in or around a conflict in the Asia-Pacific region."
The report also highlights Beijing’s expanding nuclear ambitions. It says China has likely deployed more than 100 intercontinental ballistic missiles at three newly built missile silo bases and shows no intention of engaging in arms control negotiations.
According to the report, China is expanding and modernizing its nuclear arsenal at a faster pace than any other nuclear-armed state.
Last month, US President Donald Trump said Washington was envisioning a denuclearization plan with China and Russia. However, the report said, "We continue to see no appetite from Beijing for pursuing such measures or more comprehensive arms control discussions.”
It specified that China has likely deployed more than 100 solid-fueled DF-31 intercontinental ballistic missiles at silo bases near its border with Mongolia. While the Pentagon previously disclosed the existence of these silo fields, it had not revealed the number of missiles housed within them.
The draft report does not identify the potential targets of the newly deployed missiles. US officials said the contents could still be revised before submission to Congress.
The report said China’s nuclear warhead stockpile stood at just over 600 in 2024, reflecting a “slower rate of production when compared to previous years." It adds that China’s nuclear expansion is continuing and that the country is expected to possess more than 1,000 warheads by 2030.





