KMT presidential candidate drops again in Taiwan polls

Taiwan KMT presidential candidate drops like a rock in latest polls in Taiwan, Gou-Ko alliance also fizzles

Han Kuo-yu.

Han Kuo-yu. (CNA photo)

TAIPEI (Taiwan News) -- Itinerant Kaohsiung Mayor and full-time presidential candidate Han Kuo-yu (韓國瑜) has dropped again in the latest polls, as has an alliance between Foxconn tycoon Terry Gou (郭台銘) and Taipei Mayor Ko Wen-je (柯文哲).

Han has been falling behind is rival, incumbent Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文), in the latest polls, including a drop of 8 percent in the KMT-leaning news site TVBS. The drop has been so precipitous in recent weeks that veteran journalist Huang Chuang-shia (黃創夏) exclaimed, "I declare that Han has collapsed!"

On Sept. 4, the Green Party Taiwan on Wednesday (Sept. 4) released the results of a poll conducted in collaboration with SET News on its Facebook page. The survey showed that support for Han had dropped to 33.8 percent, 13.8 percentage points behind Tsai, showing that she is starting to pull away from the former manager of the Taipei Agricultural Products Marketing Corporation.

From Sept. 2 to 3, a total of 535 respondents on landlines and another 535 on cell phones were surveyed. After weighting gender, age, and household registration, the survey was found to have a sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points and a confidence level of 95 percent.

In the poll, Tsai received the support of 47.6 percent of respondents, while only 33.8 percent opted for Han, giving Tsai a substantial lead of 13.8 percent. If Gou and Ko, neither of whom have declared a run for the presidency, are thrown into the mix, Tsai gained the support of 31.8 percent of respondents, while Han trailed at 26.1 percent, 17 percent backed Ko, and Gou pulled up the rear at 16.7 percent.

Even if Gou and Ko run together on one ticket, with Gou running as president, Tsai would still come out on top, based on the results of the poll. In such a scenario, Tsai gained the support of 35.9 percent of respondents, followed by 29.1 percent for Han, and 24.6 percent for Gou-Ko. If the ticket is reversed and Ko runs as president with the backing of Gou, Tsai gained the support of 37.7 percent of respondents, followed by 27.1 percent for Han, and 25 percent for Ko-Gou.

The poll found that more and more respondents are optimistic about Tsai, with 47.7 percent expressing satisfaction with her performance, while 46.6 percent were dissatisfied. This is the first time that those expressing satisfaction surpassed respondents who were dissatisfied with Tsai.