Tsai far ahead of Han in Taiwan News presidential poll

Tsai 85%, Han 15% in head-to-head Taiwan News poll for presidency


TAIPEI (Taiwan News) -- A Taiwan News poll implemented on social media shows that Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) has a commanding lead over itinerant Mayor Han Kuo-yu (韓國瑜) among readers in a one-on-one presidential matchup.

The poll, which was carried out over the course of a week from July 15 to July 21 on four social media accounts that included two in English and two in Mandarin asking: "If the Taiwan presidential election was held tomorrow, who would you vote for?" The results showed overwhelming support for Tsai in a hypothetical presidential match with only Han and no other candidates.

Out of 4,100 votes on Taiwan News' English language Facebook account, 85 percent chose Tsai, while 15 percent chose Han. On the Taiwan News Mandarin Facebook page, the level of support for Tsai was even higher with 87 percent choosing her, while only 13 percent picked Han, though the sample size was significantly smaller on the Mandarin page at 339 votes cast.

English language poll results on Facebook.

On the Taiwan News English Twitter page with a sample size of 155 respondents, 88 percent of respondents opted for Tsai, while only 12 percent chose Han. On the Taiwan News Mandarin Twitter page, a full 100 percent chose Tsai, though the sample size was extremely small at only 10 participants.

If Taipei Mayor Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) were to run, he would have a slim chance at winning but could act as a spoiler for Tsai, according to an opinion poll released Monday (July 22). In the poll, released by the Taiwanese Public Opinion Foundation (TPOF, 台灣民意基金會), if Ko joined the race, the itinerant Kaohsiung City mayor would lead with 33.5 percent, just ahead of Tsai with 32.6 percent, while Ko would finish last, receiving only 25.5 percent.

On the other hand, many pundits believe that if Foxconn tycoon Terry Gou (郭台銘) were to run as an independent candidate, then he might siphon off enough votes from Han to potentially deliver a victory to Tsai.

Mandarin poll results on Facebook.

Taiwan News English poll results on Twitter.

Taiwan News Mandarin poll results on Twitter.