Taiwan New Constitution Foundation shows support for Lai with public polls

Polls asked voters about potential presidential match-ups of DPP candidates vs. KMT hopefuls and Taipei Mayor Ko

File photo

File photo (By Central News Agency)

TAIPEI (Taiwan News) – A public poll carried out by the Taiwan New Constitution Foundation (台灣制憲基金會) was published on May 3 on possible presidential match ups for the 2020 election.

To judge public support for the two primary candidates of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), incumbent Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) and former Premier William Lai (賴清德), the Foundation asked respondents about who they would support in a three way presidential race given the following match ups.

President Tsai vs. Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo yu (韓國瑜) vs. Taipei Mayor Ko Wen-je (柯文哲); and Lai vs. Han vs. Ko. Likewise, match-ups between the DPP candidates, Taipei Mayor Ko, and Foxconn Chairman Terry Gou (郭台銘) as the KMT candidate were also considered by the respondents.

According to the results published by the Foundation, in a three-way presidential election between the either of the potential KMT candidates and Taipei Mayor Ko, in both cases William Lai performed slightly better than Tsai Ing-wen.

In the hypothetical race against Han and Ko, Tsai polled at 28 percent, of the total, while Lai polled at 30.5 percent. In a three way competition against Terry Gou and Ko Wen-je, Tsai polled at 27.6 percent, and Lai polled at 30.9 percent.

In the hypothetical match up against Han Kuo-yu as the KMT candidate, Han’s poll results were better in races against Tsai and Lai, suggesting a victory for the KMT and defeat for the DPP and the independent Ko Wen-je.

(Taiwan New Constitution Foundation)

In match ups against Terry Gou instead of Han, the Foundation’s polls suggest that Taipei Mayor Ko would win in a three way match with Tsai at 28.8 percent of the vote, however the poll suggests that if Lai ran instead, he could defeat both Gou and Ko with 30.9 percent.

(Taiwan New Constitution Foundation)

As of May 3, neither Han Kuo-yu or Ko Wen-je have officially announced their candidacy for the 2020 presidential election, but many anticipate both will jump into the race.

The Taiwan New Constitution Foundation was founded by veteran DPP statesman Kuang Kuanmin (辜寬敏) in late 2018.