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China anticipates GDP growth rate of 6.4% in 2019

China's economy continues to exhibit growth, but the rate of increase reflects a steady slow down in productivity

File Photo: Chinese dock workers in Qingdao, July, 2017

File Photo: Chinese dock workers in Qingdao, July, 2017 (AP photo)

TAIPEI (Taiwan News) – The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences in Beijing released a report forecasting 6.4 percent growth of GDP in 2019 for China’s massive economy.

The 6.4 percent growth forecast is 0.2 percent lower than the GDP growth reported for the year of 2018 (6.6 percent), and is indicative of an economy in slow decline across multiple sectors, reports UDN.

The growth rate for China’s GDP in 2017 was 6.9 percent.

The trade war with the United States, likely to continue well into 2019, will have potentially long-lasting effects on the Chinese economy, which may experience a steeper decline in growth rates for 2020 and beyond.

Over 2018, imports and exports for China’s economy reportedly increased by 12.4 percent and 22.2 percent respectively, seeing increases of 4.5 percent, and 4.2 percent respectively over 2017, reports UDN.

The report anticipates that for 2019, fixed investment will exceed 80 trillion RMB (US$11.6 trillion), reflecting a nominal increase of 5.6 percent, and an actual increase of 0.4 percent.

Next year, consumer spending will likely exceed 43 trillion RMB (US$6.2 trillion), with a nominal increase of 8.4 percent and an actual increase of 6 percent.

The Consumer Price Index is set at 2.5 and the Producer Price Index is 2.6 reports UDN.